Wednesday May 6 2020

This meta report has a variety of models in it for the month of May:











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Friday July 3 2020

I am a chemist and I work in a lab. Sometimes I work with dangerous acids. I have worked with them for thirty years. I understand the hazards that are associated with acids. They can cause serious injuries or death, if they are not handled properly. I know that with the proper personal protective equipment and laboratory procedures, recommended by health and safety professionals, I can work with them safely. I wear gloves, safety goggles, and face shields when working with acids. Acids do not have a political agenda. They are not a hoax. They are not going to just go away. Hydrofluoric acid is not just another acetic acid. I would never try to handle acids without gloves to demonstrate that I do not need to live in fear. I am not afraid of acids. If I said I had the right, as an American, to work with acids without gloves, I would be stupid, since it would only result in me getting burned. When working with a highly contagious, deadly virus you should follow the recommendations of the ...
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Thursday April 30 2020

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I did not post yesterday due to not having a computer. I had lasagna and German's chocolate cake for dinner. Someone online asked how many people died of the flu compared to Covid-19. Abut half that many last year, so far: What I think is happening in the US is about 1/3 of the people are afraid to go out of their houses and are doing a good job of sheltering in place. About 1/3 of the people are doing some reduced social contact but still have to go to work and such. About 1/3 of the people are going about doing exactly what they were doing before and completely ignoring any restrictions. I heard someone say that if everyone stopped moving for two weeks the virus would disappear. But if a significant portion of the population keeps moving around then the virus has a chance to continue to spread and basically we trash the economy without getting any of the benefit. I think the US is about to learn a very hard lesson. Most people around here look at New York and think yea...
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Friday June 5 2020

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The death rate in the United States showed an approximately exponential growth rate through the middle of April to just over 2000 deaths per day, then an approximately linear decline through the rest of April and May to the present rate of about 1000 deaths per day. The curve seems to be curving back up now which could indicate a second wave will be occurring. The CDC changed the colors of the graph a few days ago to blue. Not sure why. Maybe it is to help people with red green color blindness. They also modified the format of the state data on the website so it is now harder to parse. This graph is from May 21: This is an average of deaths per day for the past 11 days ending June 4, 2020. New York 101 Illinois 82 New Jersey 81 Massachusetts 71 California 66 Pennsylvania 66 Ohio 39 Maryland 39 Michigan 37 Florida 34 Connecticut 32 Georgia 29 Virginia 26 Indiana 24 Texas 23 Minnesota 21 North Carolina 19 Arizona 19 Louisiana 18 Mississippi 16 Colorado 16 Rhode Island 15 Iowa 14 Wisconsi...
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