Monday April 27 2020

My computer died today so I am writing this on my phone.

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Friday June 5 2020

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The death rate in the United States showed an approximately exponential growth rate through the middle of April to just over 2000 deaths per day, then an approximately linear decline through the rest of April and May to the present rate of about 1000 deaths per day. The curve seems to be curving back up now which could indicate a second wave will be occurring. The CDC changed the colors of the graph a few days ago to blue. Not sure why. Maybe it is to help people with red green color blindness. They also modified the format of the state data on the website so it is now harder to parse. This graph is from May 21: This is an average of deaths per day for the past 11 days ending June 4, 2020. New York 101 Illinois 82 New Jersey 81 Massachusetts 71 California 66 Pennsylvania 66 Ohio 39 Maryland 39 Michigan 37 Florida 34 Connecticut 32 Georgia 29 Virginia 26 Indiana 24 Texas 23 Minnesota 21 North Carolina 19 Arizona 19 Louisiana 18 Mississippi 16 Colorado 16 Rhode Island 15 Iowa 14 Wisconsi...
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Monday June 29 2020

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It has been a while since I updated this blog however there is a disturbing trend to the data so I thought I would add some more to this. The number of cases in the US is taking a disturbing upward trend that could go exponential. The number of deaths are on a downward trend but they will be lagging the number of cases. This is the trend from the US and the world. CNBC makes a nice graph.
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Saturday May 2 2020

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I went to CNN to look at the news and saw how poorly we were doing against the virus. Then I saw a post by a conservative friend linking the the CDC web site showing number of deaths about half of what I had been tracking. It turns out that data had been posted to an alt-right web site and was only based on a limited time period and was lagging behind the other data due to being based on death certificates. Then I went on to Fox news. The main information about the virus was mostly either light hearted or talked about how democratic governors were taking away the rights of citizens. The lead story was on Joe Biden. In order to have combated this virus successfully we would have needed a consistent response from the president, congress, the states, state legislatures, local authorities, and the media. Instead we have inconsistent messages coming from the white house, congress, local authorities, and different media organizations. This will cost peoples lives. People will die because o...
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