Monday May 4 2020


Since the death rate is now approximately constant a simple linear least squares model can be used to figure out when we will hit the following milestones:


Total US DeathsDate
1000005/18/2020
2000007/6/2020
3000008/24/2020
40000010/11/2020
50000011/29/2020
6000001/17/2021
7000003/6/2021
8000004/24/2021
9000006/12/2021
10000007/30/2021

Average deaths per day for May 1-3 2020 US States
New York308
New Jersey257
Massachusetts142
Michigan116
Illinois102
California95
Connecticut90
Pennsylvania63
Indiana58
Florida48
Texas33
Georgia31
Maryland30
Colorado28
Minnesota26
Ohio23
Louisiana23
North Carolina21
Virginia18
Wisconsin only had 1 new death today but Eau Claire county had 5 new cases.




Haven't done the Wisconsin sequence for a while so here it is:



































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