Monday April 20 2020

A wind storm came through and took out the power. It was only off for a couple hours but it made us a bit nervous. We ate cheese and crackers, and apple slices for supper, then got into some peanuts.

Here are some graphs and data for today.







Generally things are looking pretty good considering.

The governor released the Badger Bounce Back Plan (really?)

https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/WIGOV/2020/04/20/file_attachments/1431309/EMO31-BadgerBounceBack.pdf

The rate of increase of cases is decreasing. The number of deaths in the US overall is flat. The number of deaths per day in Wisconsin decreased and now is flat.

Should see Colorado, Alabama, and Arizona change colors tomorrow or the next day.


238138New York
85301New Jersey
38077Massachusetts
32284Pennsylvania
31424Michigan
30357Illinois
28963California
25598Florida
23928Louisiana
18923Texas
18781Georgia
17962Connecticut
13684Maryland
11790Washington
11602Ohio
11210Indiana
9634Colorado
8990Virginia
6796Tennessee
6493North Carolina
5667Missouri
4946Alabama
4929Arizona
4706Rhode Island
4512Mississippi
4377South Carolina
4346Wisconsin
3728Nevada
3151Utah
2960Kentucky
2902Iowa
2793District of Columbia
2745Delaware
2599Oklahoma
2470Minnesota
1910Oregon
1849Kansas
1845New Mexico
1781Arkansas
1672Idaho
1635South Dakota
1474Nebraska
1392New Hampshire
1213Puerto Rico
867Maine
863West Virginia
812Vermont
585North Dakota
580Hawaii
433Montana
426Wyoming
319Alaska
136Guam
53Virgin Islands
14Northern Marianas
0American Samoa
0Marshall Islands
0Micronesia
0Palau

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Friday June 5 2020

Image
The death rate in the United States showed an approximately exponential growth rate through the middle of April to just over 2000 deaths per day, then an approximately linear decline through the rest of April and May to the present rate of about 1000 deaths per day. The curve seems to be curving back up now which could indicate a second wave will be occurring. The CDC changed the colors of the graph a few days ago to blue. Not sure why. Maybe it is to help people with red green color blindness. They also modified the format of the state data on the website so it is now harder to parse. This graph is from May 21: This is an average of deaths per day for the past 11 days ending June 4, 2020. New York 101 Illinois 82 New Jersey 81 Massachusetts 71 California 66 Pennsylvania 66 Ohio 39 Maryland 39 Michigan 37 Florida 34 Connecticut 32 Georgia 29 Virginia 26 Indiana 24 Texas 23 Minnesota 21 North Carolina 19 Arizona 19 Louisiana 18 Mississippi 16 Colorado 16 Rhode Island 15 Iowa 14 Wisconsi...
Read more

Saturday March 21, 2020

Image
Here are the graphs for today: My latest data and forecast models are at: Spreadsheet Peak date for the USA currently looks to be around April 12. Peak date for Wisconsin currently looks to be around April 20. Remember later peak dates are better for survivability. My model is very simple at this point since it assumes exponential growth at the same rate until the entire population is infected. I may look at a SIR model later if I have time. Laurie is currently taking an inventory of all of our food so we can figure out how long we have. I think we need at least 60 days but I am afraid that we will need 90. We have decreased our coffee to 1 large scoop (usually it is 2 large and 1 small). I have been using the Nordic Track with IFit since we got it in February. Working on the Barcelona series right now. I planted lettuce, Swiss chard, cilantro, and spinach in the greenhouse today. It will take 40-45 days to harvest. It may still be too cold for ...
Read more

Saturday May 2 2020

Image
I went to CNN to look at the news and saw how poorly we were doing against the virus. Then I saw a post by a conservative friend linking the the CDC web site showing number of deaths about half of what I had been tracking. It turns out that data had been posted to an alt-right web site and was only based on a limited time period and was lagging behind the other data due to being based on death certificates. Then I went on to Fox news. The main information about the virus was mostly either light hearted or talked about how democratic governors were taking away the rights of citizens. The lead story was on Joe Biden. In order to have combated this virus successfully we would have needed a consistent response from the president, congress, the states, state legislatures, local authorities, and the media. Instead we have inconsistent messages coming from the white house, congress, local authorities, and different media organizations. This will cost peoples lives. People will die because o...
Read more