Wednesday March 25 2020

Here are the graphs:




These tables show my predicted peak date for different areas.





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Monday May 4 2020

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Since the death rate is now approximately constant a simple linear least squares model can be used to figure out when we will hit the following milestones: Total US Deaths Date 100000 5/18/2020 200000 7/6/2020 300000 8/24/2020 400000 10/11/2020 500000 11/29/2020 600000 1/17/2021 700000 3/6/2021 800000 4/24/2021 900000 6/12/2021 1000000 7/30/2021 Average deaths per day for May 1-3 2020 US States New York 308 New Jersey 257 Massachusetts 142 Michigan 116 Illinois 102 California 95 Connecticut 90 Pennsylvania 63 Indiana 58 Florida 48 Texas 33 Georgia 31 Maryland 30 Colorado 28 Minnesota 26 Ohio 23 Louisiana 23 North Carolina 21 Virginia 18 Wisconsin only had 1 new death today but Eau Claire county had 5 new cases. Haven't done the Wisconsin sequence for a while so here it is:
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Tuesday May 5 2020

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Feeling good today. Eau Claire is giving 600 tests today and they are free.Test and trace has begun. I think this means we are finally on the road to recovery. My new router arrived yesterday but it has to sit in quarantine for three days before I can try it and see if it solves my connection issues. Still working on my daughter's laptop which is very lagged. My work computer does not have much lag but it tends to drop the internet connection frequently. The models are looking very good for Wisconsin:
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