Monday March 23, 2020

I believe I have decent exponential growth phase models for now:

I predict Eau Claire to peak around April 26. The hospitals will probably exceed capacity on April 5-April 12, then come back to under capacity around May 10 (Mother's day) to May 17. Back tracking two more weeks: you don't want to contract the virus after March 15 because it takes two weeks to incubate. After May 17 would be better although anytime is not great.

And after today's data the Eau Claire peak suddenly changed to May 26. That's what I get for make projections from two data points.

Here are today's screenshots:


We ordered some food from Sam's club to have it delivered. We thought better to have it now than at the peak. Here is the series from the past several days:





March 23-20 Data





Laurie used the bread machine to make bread yesterday Amadala bread I think. Turned out good. We made grilled cheese sandwiches and tomato soup. We added half water and half milk since we think we will eventually run out of milk.

Getting mail today I cleaned the mailbox with 409 and put the mail in a plastic bag for quarantine. I used gloves and washed my gloves with 409. Will check the mail later.

It snowed last night. Hopefully it was not too cold for the seeds we planted.
It was my first day back to work today after Spring Break. We have one week to prepare for fully online delivery of our classes. Then students are supposed to start taking classes. Some students do not have access to the computer or internet though.








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